If you missed it, here it is. Mike pours out his soul with this one, as usual.
I agree with just about everything there, especially the Rocky and Bullwinkle quote, but don't agree that all this necessarily adds up to 70-75 wins, only 70-75 wins, or certainly 70-75 wins. Sometimes, the more we study a team in the offseason, the more specific our expectations will be. The more specific our expectations, the more certain they'll thoroughly fail.
A year ago we were all sure that Oliver Perez would be better off starting at AAA. Josh Fogg looked godawful too. Jason Bay had a bum shoulder and the CW said that Littlefield got fleeced in the Giles trade.
Remember that only two out of three players will perform at a level that is close to what's expected. This cuts both ways. Oliver Perez could be the next Balor Moore. Yes. We can prepare for something like that. On the other hand, Ty Wigginton could be the next Brook Jacoby. Craig Wilson could keep up the Jim Thome impersonation all year. If we are going to prepare for the worst-case scenario, we could also prepare for some best-case scenario. Odds are we'll get equal measures but it's not that uncommon for a team to get a big heap of disappointment or a big heap of pleasant surprise. Nothing is as certain as it seems to be.
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