Wednesday, December 15, 2004

Not quitters

Deion Sanders, now a Raven, hopes to rouse the Giants by calling them quitters. The Giants didn't quit so much as they fell into a hole with two early fumbles.

Also working to rouse the Giants is the notion (e.g., see it here) that the difference between Manning and Roethlisberger is the supporting cast. This isn't exactly true. The guys surrounding Eli Manning are not Eli Manning's problem. The Giants' o-line, Pettitgout, Whittle, O'Hara, Lucier, and Diehl, is not bad. Tiki Barber puts the ball on the ground but he's otherwise an excellent back. Jeremy Shockey can catch the ball. So can Ike Hilliard and Amani Toomer. I don't know why Eli Manning has been so wretched, but I don't think the blame can be laid on his supporting cast. You have to sympathize with these guys. First the coach sticks with the no-good rookie, and then the media blame you for his problems.

I expect Manning will stink for half the game. And I expect Warner will spark the Giants' offense in the second half. This spark won't light a fire, however.

Giants media quiz Roethlisberger

Ben did an interview with some Giants reporter. They ask him if he was hurt because the Giants skipped him to pick Manning. Of course he said no.

If Ben Roethlisberger wanted to be a Giant, why would he wear a black and gold suit on draft day? As they wrote in Sports Illustrated:

Roethlisberger had the presence of mind to wear Steelers colors -- a black suit with gold tie -- to Madison Square Garden for the Draft.

"Yeah, no one knew I was going here. But I knew. I thought I looked good in black and gold," he said.

My response was duh, we all look good in black and gold, but that made a pretty strong impression on me on at the time. Smart kid.

Bettis and retirement

This story's on the AP wire and figures to show up in a couple hundred papers tomorrow.

A couple years ago we were ready to push him out the door. The way he's running right now, he looks as good as ever. If the rest of the season unfolds the way the first 13 games have gone, I think Bettis could be our MVP.

Him or Farrior.

One of Littlefield's best

Paul Meyer writes that "the Kendall trade might go down as one of Littlefield's best, although there's still work to be done with it" in today's Q & A.

I like it but would emphasize the "may" in that sentence. We have to reserve judgment with trades. If Humberto Cota has a breakout year and goes to the All-Star game as a catcher next year, that Jose Guillen trade, years ago, will look pretty good. OK, that probably won't happen, but you get the idea. We just don't know what Kendall, Lawton, or Redman will do next year or the year after that. It looks like the team made some good calculated gambles. We'll see if they pay off.

The fans are still ranting about steroids as though they have the power of Popeye's spinach. Get a clue, people. I don't want to insult anyone who feels ripped off by the whole Barry Bonds and Balco story. That anger is real if maybe displaced.

But I keep thinking that mega-wealthy athletes and the player's union are being presented to the public as a kind of scapegoat. That ruins some of the pleasure of the game for me. I wish certain powerful people would stop demagoging the issue.

Fans and other people should recognize that steroids have become a political issue all out of proportion to the few facts we have about those drugs. This is the story of drugs in America: always getting demagoged. First it was alcohol, now it's illegal drugs. I don't expect any of this to change overnight. If you are reading this and remain unpersuaded, and still believe that steroids did for Barry Bonds what spinach did for Popeye, maybe you have time to consider Will Carroll's good editorial for the gray lady. The facts about steroids fail to support the hysterical conclusions some people are pushing as they seek to gather an audience impressed with their righteousness.

Baseball is not broken. Nothing's wrong with it. It's just as messed up as it's always been. It reflects all of things we do and values we hold. It reflects our stupidity and our intelligence. It reflects our generosity and our selfishness. It reflects our industry and laziness. I could go on. For me, this is what makes it great. Or at least important. For all of us.

More Steeler links

More Steeler links as we wait for Benito to get physical.

Matt Cmar found this great article from the Beaver County Times on Ben Roethlisberger's Monday-night South Side routine. Funny, he didn't mention anything about dancing midgets when he spoke at halftime two days ago.

Ryan of Heels, Sox, and Steelers recommends this article on Mark Whipple (reg'n req'd), Ben's quarterbacks coach. Hopefully Whipple can explain to Ben that the Steelers really aren't winning only because Ben goes to see the dancing midget.

Today's USAToday looks at that most important topic, how athletes express themselves by styling their hair. Troy Polamalu is featured, much as he was earlier in the season in Sports Illustrated. What is it with the tendency of modern sports reporting to look more and more at the wardrobes and toys of the players? Sports Illustrated looks more and more like GQ these days.

That said, Troy Polamalu is far cooler than any kind of GQ model:

Adds Pittsburgh Steelers safety Troy Polamalu, also Samoan: "If you look at all the great warriors, starting biblically with Samson, he had long hair. The American Indians, the Samurais, the Greeks, the Chinese - everybody had long hair. I don't know of anything that says you have to have your hair short."
Let's keep Troy out of the military.

A Palm Springs, California paper copies this USA Today article on some of the lady doctors who care for the Steelers.

The Steelers-sponsored Halifax Midget Football team (not the dancing kind) went to Florida to play in a tournament.

The State College paper looks at the consistency of the Steelers offensive line and features quotes from Jeff Hartings.

The New York media continues to emphasize the negative as they look ahead to Saturday's game, as we see there in a piece from the Staten Island Advance. The Asbury Park Press has a similar tale to tell.

Jim Wexell of the Uniontown Herald Standard reports Plaxico might play this week.

Ed Bouchette discusses the Steelers' recent history with the bye.

All hail Honus Wagner

All hail the genius with this idea.

They need help. Dig around in the couch and see if you can find your old Wagner tobacco card. The museum asks for Wagner stuff, computer equipment, and other things, like money.

Tuesday, December 14, 2004

Some Steelers reading

There's a ton of good reading about the Steelers right now.

Bob Oates of the LA Times says Ben Roethlisberger gets no help from his coaches and should be rookie and player of the year. I swear, I don't even know why those LA people try to write about sports.

Lynn Swann might run for Governor as a Republican.

South-central Pennsylvanians continue to complain about the local and national media's determination to force-feed them coverage and broadcasts of the Baltimore Raisins. All hail Melanie Callen, the author of that letter to the editor.

If we've learned anything from the steroids issue, it's that American voters like it when politicians ignore the so-called "serious" or "real" issues and fret instead about the state of professional sports. Ed Rendell should get out in front of this brewing issue. He needs to declare that if he's re-elected in 2006, he'll force the NFL to cede south-central PA print and television markets to the Steelers. Lynn Swann can respond by declaring that, should he be elected Governor, he'll force the NFL to surrender south-central PA and the northwestern corner of PA, which is now suffering under coverage and broadcasts of the Buffalo Bills.

It's easy to see where this will lead. Both candidates will have to deal with the city of Cleveland. Obviously, it's only a matter of time before the Clevelanders petition to secede from Ohio and join Pennsylvania. The state of the Browns will prove to be the tipping point. As Pennsylvanians, they could appeal to Lynn Swann and Ed Rendell to get the Steelers games pre-empting the Browns broadcasts.

Oh, wait. Nevermind. While we have the crystal ball warmed up, I also see the Browns getting sold to a Las Vegas group who convert them into Major League Baseball's thirty-third franchise.

The crystal ball gets cloudy when I attempt to determine if this gets the Pirates back into the NL East.

In other news, former Pittsburgh Steelers cornerback Mel Blount finished third in a Las Vegas rodeo.

The New York media have nothing nice to say about Eli Manning. Here's a sample:

Tom Coughlin has made it abundantly clear the Eli Manning is not coming out of the starting lineup, no matter how bad he looks. And against a top-ranked Pittsburgh Steelers defense that picked Chad Pennington off three times last weekend, Saturday's game will be even more wretched than his unwatchable effort in Baltimore.
That critic, Stephen Edelson, is right I think. Losing only tends to promote more losing. The Giants should make Eli Manning force his way into the lineup Craig Wilson-style. I can't agree that it's right to hand him the job and tell the rest of the team to suck it up. The QB is not that important. Kurt Warner looked better in relief; he should be the starter this week.

True or false: Jason is to Peyton as Jeremy is to Eli. I'll give you the answer to that question in five years.

A Florida copy editor sizes up the running for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Jason Bay and Ben Roethlisberger may be making appearances together next March.

I never knew there was a Korean soccer team named the Steelers. If you can read Korean, click here. Otherwise, check out "the Steelyard" and their cool Steeler logo here. Yes, they make steel in Pohang. It wouldn't surprise me if many older Pittsburghers know this too well.

Troy Polamalu is stuffing the Pro Bowl ballot box for James Farrior. Maybe you should too.

Do me a favor and post other links in the comments. One monkey can't find all the good stuff in half an hour.

Rumor round-up

If outrage is one thing that blogs do well (or often), so too is rumor. Sports Illustrated serves some up. It features mostly stale news for Pirates fans. But there are twenty-nine other teams out there. So have fun with it and stay off the steroids.

Matt Clement

The Indians hope to land Matt Clement because he's from this part of the country. Sheldon Ocker's report for the Akron Beacon Journal suggests Clement wants to be a Pirate:

The Tribe has one advantage over Toronto and Anaheim. Clement lives in Butler, Pa., near Pittsburgh, a mere 1 ½-hour drive from Jacobs Field. His family, his wife's family and their friends also live in Butler, and that means a lot to Clement.

Even before he became a free agent, he had expressed a desire to play for the Indians (even moreso the Pittsburgh Pirates), because Cleveland is close to home. Whether that will be enough to sway him is the question.

I'm constantly amazed that more players aren't vocal about their deeply-held desire to play for the Pirates. It's just not possible to be a gamer and not want to be a Pirate.

If the Bucs have a chance to add whatever payroll they'd need to sign Clement, they should do it. You know they'd sell some tickets from it, and a team can't have too much starting pitching. If the team got creative, maybe they could find a way to add him and stay under budget. I'd guess that the fans would be pretty understanding if they had to unload another big-name player to make room for him, too.

All that said, I'm not holding my breath.

... as Trev points out, the Pedro signing means Clement is in for a huge payday. The Bucs would probably have to offer more job security (i.e., more years) to compete and then maybe we'd have another Kendall contract on our hands.

Coming attractions

From Bob Dvorchak's report this morning:

While finding a veteran catcher remains the club's top priority, general manager Dave Littlefield said he will try to add another starting pitcher and a another corner outfielder/first baseman before spring training starts.

Any guesses?

Dvorchak also notes that Craig Wilson cut his hair. And talks with Jack Wilson about a multi-year deal aren't going so well. Dvorchak writes that Jack Wilson has three years of arbitration left. Since 2004 was his first year on arbitration money, I thought he had only 2005 and 2006.

Monday, December 13, 2004

Brewers get Carlos Lee

For Luis Vizcaino and Scott Podsednik. Lee will get $8M next year and has an $8.5M option for the year after that.

Scott Podsednik's 2003 season was, I thought, the best-case scenario for Tike Redman's 2004 season. I still think Tike Redman could have a season like that. But I'm doubtful. If it was going to happen, it would have happened last year, when the stars aligned for him and he had his bite at the apple.

The Bucs will have a lot of options for fourth outfielder. I don't think that Tike Redman's career as a Pirate as over, but I don't guess he's a lock to make the 2005 opening-day roster. Far from it.

P.S. The Brewers also picked up Nashville.

Santiago deal hinges on physical

Dick Kaegel reporting for MLB.com. Joe Rutter wrote pretty much the same thing yesterday.

I wonder how fast Santiago can run through the tires and climb the cargo net.

Rule 5 draft

For the minor-league portion, the relevant details are here. Yawn.

If you want to be knowledgeable about what did and didn't happen in the major-league portion of the Rule 5 draft, go read Dayn Perry's rundown of the top 25 eligible players up at Baseball Prospectus. It's a premium i.e. subscriber-only article. BP is working its way back into my good graces. They seem to have realized that the Pirates have a lot of fans who mostly still have a lot of pride and dignity despite twelve losing seasons or whatever it was that just came and went.

Perry also wrote a shorter version, with an explanation of the whole Rule 5 thing, for Fox Sports.

The Bucs didn't take anyone and didn't lose anyone in the major-league portion of the draft. I guess they can pass the hair shirt to the Cubs organization.

I don't think Ruz will wear it but surely some Cubs fan somewhere will blow a gasket and be full of self-hatred because his team lost some potentially-good "prospects" in the Rule 5 draft. And maybe the Chicago Tribune will publish an editorial in which someone suggests the team left two guys unprotected so they could make $100,000.

Giants get Matheny

Got three years, $9M. Scratch him off the list of candidates for the Pirates' job.

Good steroids editorial

All hail Bob Russ of the Canton Repository. The hole in my argument - that steroids are not really a big deal - is that it's not realistic to expect a majority of fans to believe that any time soon. They are a big deal. Too many people have an extreme, if uninformed and ill-considered, opinion of their influence on the game. That makes them a big deal. It's not a cheating problem but a public-relations problem.

The players, by agreeing that it's a good idea to spend a lot of team revenue on a steroids-testing bureaucracy, basically do something which is the equivalent of hiring a lot of detectives to make sure they don't smoke cigarettes or drink too much coffee. It's not a bad thing unless this cost gets passed on to the fans.

KC Star: details of coming Santiago trade

Bob Dutton of the Kansas City Star reports:

The Royals were near a trade Sunday in which veteran catcher Benito Santiago would go to the Pittsburgh Pirates for minor-league pitcher Leo Nuñez.

Royals general manager Allard Baird confirmed the two sides were talking but said no agreement had been reached. Pittsburgh club officials also confirmed serious discussions.

The proposed trade seems to hinge on Santiago, 39, passing a physical later this week in Pittsburgh. Sources said the Royals have also agreed to pay about $1.4 million of Santiago's $2.15 million salary for 2005.

Deserved or not, and rightly or not, the Bucs have a reputation for being down on short pitchers. Nunez's listed weight is 150 pounds. With all our starting pitching and the likes of 6'4" 220 Jeff Miller on the roster, Leo Nunez is pretty buried on the depth chart. If he can find a way to add thirty-five pounds of muscle to his frame, maybe Nunez can be the next Roy Oswalt.

I don't mind paying the old guy $700K to call a savvy game and bat eighth. I like the rumor a lot more now that I learn that we're dealing Nunez and that we won't be paying all of the old man's salary. Financially, it's a much better deal than the situations we were looking at with Charles Johnson. With Bones, I'm breathing a huge sigh of relief that deal fell through. Say what you want about his PNC career numbers, there's no way I'm going to believe that Charles Johnson would hit more than .250 / .310 / .390 as a Pirate. If we payed him a lot to do that a lot, we also fail to realize any potential value stored in Cota and House and semi-regular catchers.

The front office must think that the team needs more than a catching coach to help Cota and House along. I suppose there is the depth question. As a fan, I want to see twelve starters on March 1. Why would we expect them to start the year thin at catcher? Kendall was unusually durable for a catcher. Who would back up Cota and House if the team were to go with them for 2004? Ronny Paulino? And with many of our eggs in the one basket labeled "young pitching," I can understand the conservative approach to the catching position. Since Santiago would come in with a one-year deal (I'm assuming), Cota and/or House would have a better chance to catch three games a week than they would with CJ on a two-year, $3M+ deal.

The deal has the virtue of dealing off the bottom of our stack of pitching prospects to get a guy that won't totally block our two catching prospects. It also protects the young starting pitchers.

...Bob Dvorchak reports the team is not looking for a full-time catcher.

...Joe Rutter also reports on the deal. He reminds us that old man Benito has a history with the steroids people. A lot of good that did him. Maybe he was massaging the clear into the wrong body parts or something.

Winning team

Hines Ward:

"Each week, it's another guy stepping up to make big plays," said Steelers receiver Hines Ward. "That's been the case all year. It's all about team. That's the special thing about it."
The Steelers are playing as a fused group.

Even Alonzo Jackson can step up for a game.

Great Chuck Finder column

I guess this was out yesterday, but I just saw it this morning. The man is right.

If you know who you are going to play next when the game ends, then you are looking ahead. FWIW the Steelers get a sweet national-television 1:30pm Saturday game this week against the Giants. If the Giants play Kurt Warner, the Steelers could be in for a world of hurt. They are a team that never sinks very low.

Sunday, December 12, 2004

Joe Rutter: Johnson deal dead

Joe Rutter reports that Rox GM O'Dowd and the Bucs have washed their hands of Charles Johnson. It sounds like CJ and his agent held out too long for too much, hoping to leverage Johnson's consent to waive a no-trade clause for a one-year extension.

Rutter reports that the Bucs are looking at other no-hit types. I'm not sure why they can't go to camp with what they got and see what Jose Guillen Humberto Cota and J.R. House can do. If you're going to sign a bullpen catcher to bat eighth and call a savvy game, why does it have to be done before April?

More Lawton stories

Robert Dvorchak weighs in with his report on the Lawton deal. He notes that

Lawton's acquisition means that Craig Wilson, who is still being considered as an everyday player, will get most of his at-bats as a first baseman next season. But Daryle Ward is still in the mix at first.

As much as I enjoyed Craig Wilson's multi-month Jim Thome impersonation, I still find myself remembering his 2004 season not for that but for the second-half slump. He was the picture of inconsistency.

Joe Rutter tells us Lawton is no Brett Favre. Can Brett work the count? Snarkiness aside, he's right, Lawton has been hurt in his career. Rutter also notes that the Bucs are considering multi-year deals for Jack Wilson and Oliver Perez.

Steelers 17, Jets 6

I enjoyed that. (singing) Here we go . . .

What time is it &c. &c.

Just saw Ray Lewis and the Raisins doing the circle-up pre-game dog-chant thing for the FOX camera. Loved how half the team was slacking off, just totally standing around like "this is stupid," then nodding their heads and being "into it" when Ray Lewis turned and faced in their direction.

Saturday, December 11, 2004

Bucs considering Clement, more comment from the Cleveland papers

Because you can have never have enough starting pitching. I guess. Jim Molony reports this for MLB.com.

The Akron Beacon Journal, which was in denial about the Lawton-for-Rhodes deal, now says it was a good decision because the Tribe can re-sign Ronnie Belliard. Uh, ok. They also write that Clement should command more than $19M over three years.

Good eye, Trev, thanks for putting the first link in the comments.

...Trev has a Bucco blog! I should click on homepage links more often. Way to go, Trev.

...more ABJ coverage of the trade here. Now they write good deal because Lawton's right field defense is "far below" the major-league norm. Also, with Belliard due to get re-signed and Coco Crisp's emergence, they didn't really need another leadoff hitter. Their loss, our gain. It might work out well for the Indians. But there's no doubt I think that Lawton fits the Bucs' team real well. He bats left-handed, works the count, can lead off. If his right-field defense is no good, then it's a good thing we have an "easy" right field.

All hail Matt Lawton

Lawton is a Pirate.

More here. One Justice B. Hill files for MLB.com. Ed Eagle must be passed out beneath the Christmas tree.

Merry Christmas, Pirate fans. And Happy Hannukah and Kwaanza while we're at it.

I don't know what you're thinking right now. My gut says this is a great deal for us. My gut also says has another beer to celebrate.

All hail David Littlefield! I like the trade.

PhillyNews: Brian Meadows available

Paul Hagen of the PhillyNews reports the Pirates are making Brian Meadows available this weekend. Any team that lacks starting pitching depth would be nuts to pass on him. We can spare him because we already have a number of reliable "innings-eaters."

Toronto Sun: No Alex Rios for Craiggers

Report here.

Honest Wagner favicon available

The wonderful and multi-talented Leeeny made and currently hosts the HW icon that may appear now to the left of the URL in your browser.

If you're curious about the origin of the image, look here. It's a detail from the picture of our junto. Depending on the extent to which it taps her bandwidth, it may only be available for a limited time. But no worry. It should be stored in your cache after one visit.

All hail Leeeny! Since it's a little early in the morning for all-hailing, I'll put some Bailey's in my coffee for her.

STLtoday: Pirates after Matheny

Story here.

Winter meetings, day one wrap-up

Jim Molony sums up all the action of day one of this year's winter meetings.

Joe Beimel Frank Brooks cleared waivers.

...hold on. Bob Dvorchak reports Brooks was claimed by Los Angeles.

More on Matt Lawton

Someone with the Cleveland organization is whispering in the ear of the Akron Beacon Journal. The Plain Dealer reports there's "merit" to the rumors that the teams are talking about a deal involving Lawton.

Joe Rutter also reports on the deal for the Trib-Review.

Suspicion of steroid use a factor

MLB.com quotes DL acknowledging that this a factor in their evaluation of free agents. As it should be. Teams should also be wary of players with a history of alcohol and other drug problems.

Thursday, December 09, 2004

Honest Wagner NFL pick 'em: week 14

VIS SPRD HME SCOOP BONES ROWDY
oak 007.5 ATL ..oak ..oak ..ATL
sea 006.5 MIN .MIN* .MIN* .sea*
cin 011.5 NWE ..cin .cin* ..cin
chi 007.5 JAX ..chi ..chi .chi*
nyg 009.5 BAL ..BAL ..nyg ..nyg
ind -10.5 HOU ..ind .ind* .ind*
cle 010.5 BUF .BUF* .BUF* ..BUF
nwo 006.5 DAL ..DAL ..nwo ..DAL
det 009.5 GNB .gnb* ..det ..det
nyj 005.5 PIT .PIT* .PIT* ..nyj
mia 011.5 DEN ..mia ..DEN ..DEN
snf 006.5 ARZ ..ARZ ..ARZ ..ARZ
tab 005.5 SND .SND* ..SND ..tab
stl 006.5 CAR ..stl ..CAR ..stl
phl 009.5 WAS ..phl ..phl .phl*
ksc -03.5 TEN ..ksc ..TEN ..TEN

Scoreboard, powered by the Bones-owned Diebold Corp.

Year-to-date
Bones 106 86 0.552
Scoop 104 88 0.541
Rowdy 097 95 0.505

Best Bets
Bones 106 86 0.552
Scoop 104 88 0.541
Rowdy 097 95 0.505

Steelers own the Jets, historically, but I wouldn't give them five and a half. (Correction note: Jets have won last two; ditching Vinny cured their Pittsburgh woes. Correction to correction: one of the last two was an exhibition game. They don't count, duh.)

History, whatever. I can use the force and sense that the Jets have an edge coming into this game. The Steelers had to give 110% to beat sorry Jacksonville by a smidge when we all expected them to steamroller the team made up of former Steelers (Jason Gildon, Fu, Dewayne, Troy Edwards). Meanwhile, the Jets were chilling in the hot tub (yes, you can do that) trading tales of how great they were as they pounded the hapless Texans.

Chad (to Curtis): Dude, you know what took balls? The way I signaled first down after that scramble.

Curtis (to Chad): Funny I didn't see that. I must have been rushing for 134 yards.

Justin (to himself): Damn my ribs are kinda sore from catching all those passes.

Santana (to Shaun): My punt return - was it 36 or 46 yards? I can't remember I was running so fast.

Shaun (watching Steelers game): Damn. I woulda made that sack.

The Jets have a pretty big chump factor so I see them blowing this chance. Steelers 17, Jets 13.

If the Steelers roar back from last week's game and pound the Jets like they did the Pats and the Eagles, and win it all 27-3, then next week I'll be singing the "Here we go, / Pittsburgh's going to the Super Bowl" song.

On the reports out of Cleveland

One reason I've respected DL's plan to rebuild through starting pitching: it's always scarce and, like power hitting, often "overvalued." Everyone giggled when the Bensons massaged $22.5M from the Mets, but now the market for starting pitching is drying up and many teams will get even less value with the remaining options.

Reports out of Cleveland - in the Plain Dealer and in the Beacon Journal - suggest the Tribe are up a creek without paddles. The Bucs have about twelve guys in line to start without rushing a guy like Zach Duke. They may be able to deal a starter. Even a guy like Matt Peterson might command a lot of attention for teams with little organizational depth for their rotations.

Of our front four or five, I'm not sure who I'd deal first, or if I'd deal any of them. Not Kip Wells, but that would be selling him low. If his only problem last year was a little undiagnosed carpal tunnel, he's as good as new after the surgery to widen that tunnel in his wrist. Or so I say. Oliver Perez should be untouchable. Josh Fogg now reminds me a lot of Tim Wakefield. It might be a good time to trade him, or maybe not; it depends how much his durability and adaptability are valued on the trade market. Mark Redman is another innings-eater. And unlike Fogg, trade him now and we're selling him low.

I have no idea what the Bucs could get for John Van Benschoten of if they'd even consider trading him.

What about Brian Meadows? The man with the rubber arm could really help a team that is desperate for a fifth starter.

While it would be hard to part with one of our better or more reliable starters, it would be even harder to experience the 2005 season without a power upgrade. If the team doesn't think we can get that from Daryle Ward or Brad Eldred, then they have to go get someone.

One other thing. The PD writes that Shapiro "dismissed" the Lawton rumors, but the ABJ reports that he dismissed them by saying he wouldn't comment on rumors involving specific players. Both papers express some skepticism that the Tribe would want Rhodes. By calling him a "poor man's J.D. Drew" I meant to suggest that he's a guy, I think, with a reputation for being an injury-prone bust and some potential for a year or two that exceeds anything he's done to date. I'm looking at him as a potential leadoff hitter. The front office knows that the current team has terrible patience at the plate and they need to bring in someone who will work the count and show the other guys how to work the count. If the J.D. Drew comparison led some to think I consider Lawton a power hitter, well, then, it was a dumb comparison to make.

Who's unprotected

If you are wondering who could get taken from the Bucs in this year's Rule 5 draft, Robert Dvorchak has your answers.

Wednesday, December 08, 2004

Burnitz and Gibbons rumors

Ed Eagle reports that Littlefield may make a trade this weekend. Jay Gibbons and Jeromy Burnitz are mentioned as possible additions.

Here's my first impressions. Both these guys could be expected to hit more than Charles Johnson would. Bones has been a fan of Burnitz in the past; I'd like to see what he has to say about him now. Gibbons reminds me of a left-handed Craig Wilson. And that's a good thing.

Matt Lawton fan club forming here

I am a big fan of Matt Lawton, who I regard as the poor man's J.D. Drew - well, something like that - and I think he'd make a great addition to the current crop of Pirates. He's a tremendous leadoff hitter with all the patience of Kendall and more power. My memory (never to be trusted) says that some of the injuries that have made his career "injury-prone" were freak things and not the kind of injuries that actually suggest you can expect more injuries down the road. Not, that is, unless you believe in bad luck and think perhaps someone can be born under a bad sign.

He's gotten little love in Cleveland because he failed to meet expectations in his first season. If his health is sound and he can pass a Pirate physical, he's someone we could really use.

To complainers I'd say, put his .370 career OBP in your pipe, smoke it, and then tell us if you still feel like complaining.

OK, I wouldn't say that, because it would be ruude, but what's not to like?

Tuesday, December 07, 2004

Gammons: Fogg non-tendered?

The other PG is reporting that clubs think the Bucs might non-tender Josh Fogg. I'd be shocked if that happened. Perhaps they anticipate a huge payday in arbitration? I sure do wish I understood better how the arbiters arbitrate.

RockyMountainNews: details of Johnson deal

Tracy Ringolsby of the Rocky Mountain News reports (scroll down) that the Rockies and Pirates have some kind of tentative deal in place if the Rockies can't work something out with the Tampa Bay club. Ringolsby writes that the Rockies have agreed to pay $8.25M of Johnson's $10M salary ($9M + $1M bonus for waiving his no-trade clause). Johnson is also demanding a contract for 2006 worth about $1.25M. I don't report this as fact but as a summary of this Denver report. For all I know, it's wishful thinking on the part of this beat writer.

There's no word about who's the prospect the Pirates would send to Denver, if there is one. I hope it's not Zach Duke.

Steelerettes

These fine ladies were before my time. I had no idea the Steelers had ever had cheerleaders.

Check them out. They are too cute in those hats.

Here's a good wallpaper-worthy action shot.

There's a lot more here. Mon dieu.

Here Comes Roethlisberger

Bwa-ha-ha. In a related note, Mrs. Rowdy decided the best thing in the whole Steelers catalog is the black-and-gold Santa. Not this one, which is also cool. This one. Or I think that's the one. Rowdietta destroyed the catalog. This is also a good look for Santa. This one appears to be wearing the alternate home uniform. The Steelers don't go for alternate uniform looks so that one looks a little bogus to me.

Monday, December 06, 2004

Eagle answers

Ed Eagle answers a bunch of questions I could have written myself. Shorter Eagle: No Charles Johnson if he's $2M per year, Craig Wilson is not a catcher, Littlefield promised to re-invest the Kendall savings and there's no reason to doubt his word, JVB will have a shot at the fifth starter position.

One of my hobby horses has been the fact that the five-man rotation is a myth. A team doesn't need five starters on April first, they need more like nine starters. Otherwise there's no hope of successfully weathering injury and unexpected suckitude. The only way that the addition of Redman limits JVB's opportunity is this: if everyone else is healthy and up to speed, the odds are longer for JVB to start the season with the Pirates. Otherwise I'm sure we'll be seeing him at some point in the season.

Eagle's mailbag also calls our attention to this recent interview with DL. There's a lot of good stuff in there. Sounds to me like Littlefield is ready to do some more trading. I'm all for unloading some of the minor-league depth for the right big-league proven veterans.

Steelers at Jaguars

I'm looking forward to it.

...funny how the team of old Steelers played and lost like the old Steelers. The Jaguars "deserved" to win but handed it over in the final minutes. Not a great win for the Steelers, but that's a crushing loss for the Jacksonville team.

And we keep pace with the Patriots. If it's standard tournament seeding come playoff-bracket-makeup time, and if the Steelers retain the #1 seed they'd play the #4 - if that team can fend off a Wild Card team - to get to the Championship game. That may be the Jets, right? I'd have the Colts playing in Foxboro for the right to come to Heinz Field. But we get ahead of ourselves ... Steelers aren't going to win out if they continue to play like they did last night. Unlike the Colts and Patriots, they don't appear to be at the top of their game right now.

Saturday, December 04, 2004

21 days of Clemente

If you're in New York City, you might want to check out this art exhibit:

"21 Days of Clemente" showcases the legacy of Baseball Hall of Famer Roberto Clemente in an exhibit Dec. 10-31 at 424 Grand Concourse, Bronx. Public schools in the Bronx will participate with art, poetry and essays about the late Pittsburgh Pirate all-star outfielder Clemente (1934-1972), who died in a plane crash during a humanitarian mission to earthquake-stricken Nicaragua. This exhibit will reflect the work, mission and generosity of Clemente. Students will receive certificates, and the top 20 winners will receive special prizes. Music by Yerba Buena. Call 718-402-9310.

That's what I would call a legacy.

Big Ben action figure available

Stocking stuffer. Ryan's on it.

Congratulations Dejan

The P-G has promoted/reassigned Dejan Kovacevic from the Penguins to the Pirates so he's our newest beat writer. Link here. Thanks to Paul for the link.

Friday, December 03, 2004

Sarah's Take

MLB.com has re-published the thoughts of a fan named Sarah. It's the Kendall reference that caught my eye. She thinks Kendall caused a lot of resentment among the Pirates because he made a lot of money. So, the Dodgers shouldn't pay a lot of money to Adrian Beltre.

I'd be curious to learn how she observed this. While I generally believe that stars & scrubs is not the best way to assemble a low-budget baseball team, I don't understand how a fan can say she saw resentment among Kendall's 2004 teammates. And, for the record, I don't think Kendall's salary last year was as much as an albatross as it would have been in the final year of his contract. There's no evidence that the Pirates' sub-.500 season had anything to do with the portion of total payroll consumed by Kendall's salary. There appears to be a reading of Littlefield's Alex Rodriguez comments which infers that the GM and maybe some fans blame Kendall's salary for the Pirates' inability to win a lot of games the last few years. While I don't know what the GM meant by those comments, I doubt that's what he meant to suggest. The problem with Kendall's salary is that it grows year after year. And as it grows, it would continue to restrict the team's ability to pay his teammates more than a scrub's salary if, as I think we all anticipate, the current ownership does not significantly grow the team's annual payroll.

I think the trade looks OK for the Bucs because it frees money that can be used for the eventually arbitration-eligible guys we want to keep. Redman looks like a good replacement for Sean Burnett and, as unfashionable as it may be, I still think Rhodes is a bad-ass with at least one more dominant set-up season in his tank. All that said, we have to wait a few years before we can judge the trade with any justified conclusions. I've read a lot of commentary on the Kendall trade that reminds me of the cocksure snap judgments that were issued after the Pirates sent Giles to San Diego.

One more thing. Scroll to the bottom of Sarah's piece and click on her link. Is this something that would be called a blog?

Mother of All Depth Charts

Check it out.

Looks dubious to me. No way Albaladejo fits in the 2005 Lynchburg rotation.

Ah, just kidding. All hail Wilbur Miller.

Bucs in Winter Ball

Ed Eagle catches us up on Vogelsong, Castillo, Bautista, Ronny Paulino, and Leo Nunez.

How many years before we get these winter ball games on streaming audio? I'd kinda like to listen to one of Vogelsong's starts.

No great demand for Nunez, Alvarez, or Rivera

All three cleared waivers and become free agents. Thanks to Tom Veil for calling our attention to it.

On even more Steroids

Thanks to everyone for the thoughtful and wise and eloquent comments in the last thread.

Ban 'em I say. If that's what people want, give it to them.

If steroids are to be banned because they are hazardous to the athlete's health, OK.

If steroids are to be banned because young people might get the (possibly mistaken) idea that they improve a player's ability to compete, OK.

By the same logic, though, we'd also have to ban nicotine and caffeine. Should we put an asterisk next to Jim Leyland's managerial record because he won all those games on the performance-enhancing quality of cigarettes? Don't say there's a difference. Any serious cigarette smoker will tell you he or she just can't concentrate when they really need to smoke. Children already get the message that cigarettes will make you cool and sexy and athletic from the tobacco companies. And they've been getting that message for more than 100 years. Why shouldn't baseball recognize that cigarettes are harmful to their players and that cigarette (or chew) usage encourages children to pursue false "enhancement"? Ban 'em.

Should we invalidate all trades that are made after the GMs have stayed up all night drinking coffee? After all, there's no doubt that the performance-enhancing effects of caffeine played a role. Did Billy Beane or David Littlefield have an unfair advantage in the negotiations for Jason Kendall because the one had better or more high-potency coffee? Unless we ban coffee from the clubhouse, players will continue to sacrifice good sleep and better nutrition in the name of some false performance advantage. And young children will grow up thinking they have to consume eighteen lattes a week if they want to be General Manager.

Protect the kids, yes. Amen to that. The best way to protect the kids is to talk sense to them. They won't get the idea that juicing up will necessarily improve their ability to hit a baseball if their parents talk responsibly about the role steroids and muscle mass play in the ballplayer's ability. The way the current Hate-Barry debate is going, kids are getting the message that steroids, legal and illegal, made him a big home run hitter. They are getting the message that they need to juice up if they want to compete. That's the real shame.

Baseball isn't weightlifting or boxing or sprinting. This is a much more complicated sport. Baseball requires a far greater range of abilities than any of the more limited skill-set Olympic sports. To state categorically that legal and illegal steroids are "performance-enhancing" oversimplifies the game far too much for me. Caffeine is performance-enhancing. So is nicotine. So is Viagra. So is Prozac. So is spinach (well, maybe only for some people). LSD was performance-enhancing for Dock Ellis, to hear him talk about his experience that day. I'll agree that maybe sign-stealing is "part of the game," but putting Vaseline on the ball, or using sandpaper: that is cheating. If cheating is what this is all about, let's drag old Gaylord Perry from the Hall of Fame and give him the witch treatment too.

In the course of a year-round fitness regimen involving all the best medical and motivational advice that money can buy, an athlete uses a cream or a pill that increases the efficiency of his workouts by some unknown and unproven increment. He goes to the ballpark. Maybe he is still capable of hitting a baseball - Marty Cordova became so muscle-bound, he lost the flexibility to swing the bat as he once did. And maybe he is not facing a pitcher who, because of his own illegal perfromance-enhancing hobbies, throws just like pitchers used to throw in the old days. If he can still hit and the pitcher is not equally juiced, maybe the batter hits the ball another five or ten feet if he makes contact.

And this is more serious that applying a foreign substance to a ball that makes it dance and move in some unnatural fashion? I can't believe that.

Because I'm not all that alarmed about the way Perry cheated, I can't get upset and believe that Bonds would have hit 37 home runs instead of 73 home runs had he only worked out like mad and not used "the clear" or whatever it was he used.

The role of steroids in baseball performance is not simple. Bud Selig will serve up a simplistic solution because that's what the fans appear to want right now. No politician will ever be caught doing anything less than being "tough on drugs."

I'm sure there will be a witch hunt, the implementation of some draconian drug-testing bureaucracy, and a further increase in ticket prices to pay for Bud's crusade to look good while making the sport safe from this boogeyman.

Because I believe that sports operates as an outlet or an escape for most people, when they get really upset about something in sports, I usually suspect they are displacing some concern or anger about something else. Maybe they are pissed that their boss raided their pensions or that their son didn't get into an exclusive college. Maybe they have gotten older and can't hit a baseball out of the infield anymore. Maybe a hurricane destroyed their orange grove. Maybe they stepped in a puddle and are at work, right now, with wet socks. Maybe they can't or won't recognize or express that anger. Maybe they need a safer target. Some people kick the dog. Some take it out on their kids. Others appear to have found release in hating on the High-Tech High-Paid Disrespectful Home-Run Hitter.

I see all this as a Bad Sign. Something must be very wrong to have people so fired up about some crisis of intergrity in professional sports. The whole Ron Artest thing was just another scene in this unfolding drama. Something is Wrong with the world.

At least we aren't worried about some perceived epidemic of cheating at the circus. When I turned on the radio this morning, I did not hear someone saying, "I don't know what to tell my children now that we know the Alligator Lady is a fraud." For that I'm grateful.

P.S. If we're going to hate on Barry, and as a Pirate fan a part of me wants to do that for the 1990-1992 NLCS performance - let's pick on him for not having won a World Series. Aaron has a ring, Ruth had a bunch of them, even Mark McGwire has a ring. I'd so rather see all this anger channelled into some discussion of the efficacy of the stars & scrubs strategy. Here's the greatest player of all time, or one of the greatest players of all time, and he's unable to lead a team to the ultimate goal.

This is the last I'll write about this for a while because I find the whole subject depressing. Thanks for all your great comments, and thanks in advance for any comments you might want to leave here.

On Steroids

A conscience is the part of you that tells you, immediately and without reflection, if a certain act is lawful or unlawful. It's pretty clear that most everyone knows, in their gut, that it's not right for a ballplayer to use steroids.

I feel that way. But I do think there's a lot of overreaction to the Jason Giambi news. Steroids is cheating but baseball has always been full of cheating. Corked bats. Stolen signs. Overwatered infields. Foreign substances on the ball.

There's no conclusive proof that steroids do anything but help the body heal faster and help the body add muscle mass faster. There's no proof that they do anything to help a hitter hit a ball, and there's no proof that they help a pitcher to hit his spots. There's no proof that they do anything to turn a mediocre player into a superstar. Jason Giambi took them, if reports are to be believed, and so too did Jeremy Giambi.

People are overreacting to the steroids question. People have said that the 1951 Giants stole the pennant and there's been no movement to put an asterisk on their accomplishment. Guys are in the Hall of Fame for careers built on doctoring the baseball. Where is the outrage? There is none. There has always been a lot of winking when it comes to the usual forms of cheating in baseball.

We've always known that athletes have used and abused "recreational" drugs. Dock Ellis threw a no-hitter on LSD. We all know Ricky Williams has been running all stoned but there's no movement to put an asterisk on his accomplishments, either. And we know many athletes played high on cocaine or half-drunk. Amphetamines are reported to be totally common in sports, too. Would anyone have a problem with a ballplayer who's taking Prozac?

So why all the hullabaloo about steroids? What is it about this drug that has so many people convinced that it's the rock-solid iron-clad most-foolproof sure-thing way of cheating?

My response to news that players have been "juiced" is one of pity - it's the same reaction I have to news that players abused and suffered from their use of LSD, cocaine, amphetamines, alcohol, and marijuana. And I can't believe that steroids use is a threat to the "integrity of the game." Why do some people worry more about the integrity of a game than they worry, say, about the integrity of a business, of a political policy, of a college degree, or of a religious vow? The "integrity" of baseball was sacrificed long ago and since it's sport, it's no worse for wear for this habitual wanting of virtue and consistency.

On the scale of cheats, I'd rank steroid use below putting vaseline on the ball. I'd rank steroid use below sign-stealing schemes which involve more than one person. (If one person cheating in secret is bad, worse is two or more players helping each other to cheat.) My guess is that steroids have had no more impact on the outcome of games than alcohol, which is to say that it's probably had some influence but no more influence than dozens or even hundreds of other factors which have come and gone over the last hundred-and-fifty years.

If steroids helped players get stronger, it's not very clear that they helped the hitters more than it helped the pitchers. If they helped players heal faster and get back on the field, then I don't see why we should complain about them.

Compounding the dubious "criminality" of steroid use is the fact that they were legal until last year. And now that Bud Selig has banned some of them, I can still walk into any mall and go home with a big jug of Creatine. Are the illegal versions of steroids that much more effective than the legal ones?

Something tells me this is all about the home run record. I think that's sad. People can't help themselves from barrelling down this train of thought: Steroids -> Muscle -> Home Runs. Never mind the fact that this is only one of the many logical consequences of steroid use. How about Steroids -> Muscle -> Career-ending ligament damage? Or Steroids -> Muscle -> A home-run-preventing extra 5 mph on the fastball?

The more important question is this: who gives a damn about the home run record? I'd trade one playoff win for a home run record. If the home run record really is the most important thing to baseball fans, then the sport is in worse shape than I thought.

The fact that this might go down as the steroids era is sad, but no more sad that the fact that other eras might be remembered as the alcohol era, the cocaine era, the amphetamine era, the sign-stealing era, the spitball era, the vaseline era, the pine tar era, the body armor era, or the what have you era.

The game is just as strong as it has ever been. And it has just as much integrity as it has ever had.

Play ball.

Honest Wagner NFL pick 'em: week 13

VIS SPRD HME SCOOP BONES ROWDY
snf 10.5 STL ..STL ..snf ..STL
buf -3.5 MIA ..MIA .buf* ..buf
car 01.5 NWO .car* ..NWO ..NWO
hou 06.5 NYJ ..hou ..NYJ .NYJ*
atl 01.5 TAB ..atl .atl* ..TAB
cin 06.5 BAL ..cin ..cin .BAL*
min -7.5 CHI ..CHI ..CHI ..min
nwe -7.5 CLE .nwe* .nwe* ..nwe
arz 05.5 DET ..DET .arz* .DET*
ten 10.5 IND ..IND ..ten ..ten
ksc 01.5 OAK .OAK* ..OAK ..ksc
den 02.5 SND .SND* ..SND ..den
nyg 01.5 WAS ..WAS ..nyg ..nyg
gnb 05.5 PHL ..gnb ..gnb .gnb*
pit -3.5 JAX ..pit .pit* .pit*
dal 06.5 SEA ..SEA ..dal .SEA*
Asterisks indicate best bets.

Season to date:
Bones 98-78 .557
Scoop 96-80 .545
Rowdy 91-85 .517

Best bets
Bones 33-22 .600
Rowdy 35-26 .574
Scoop 21-16 .568

Thursday, December 02, 2004

89 days until Spring Training opens

Schedule here.

Charles Johnson no D-Ray

The Denver Post reports that Johnson has some kind of $1M bonus that the D' Rays won't pay. Sounds like his real salary for 2005 is $10M, not $9M, so even if the Rockies absorb $8M it's still going to work out to about $2M per year plus some kind of prospect. Is that such a great deal for whoever takes Johnson off their hands?

Wednesday, December 01, 2004

The Black and Gold in Baghdad

All hail the troops.

File this one under what it means to be a fan. I like to write on this subject; I'm sure I'll come back to this essay by this apparently-anonymous sports guy. It's a great essay. Go read it.

Japan Times: Bucs interested in Nishi

The Japan Times, today:

Free agent and utility infielder Toshihisa Nishi, who has apparently drawn interest from the Pittsburgh Pirates, put on hold a two-year contract offered by the [Yomiuri] Giants in their talks Tuesday.

The 33-year-old Nishi told the Tokyo-based Central League team that it is difficult for him to respond immediately whether he will return for a 10th season as he hopes to find himself among the players on the checklist of teams at the Dec. 10-13 Major League Baseball winter meetings.

Sounds like the Pirates are getting creative in their search for appropriate free-agent signings. But how do we need another utility infielder? Is he left-handed? What's the angle here?

All hail the Curve

Our elite minor-league franchise.

Tuesday, November 30, 2004

Guess Craig Wilson's 2005 salary

Ed Eagle's new mailbag reminds me of a fun debate: what will Craig Wilson earn for 2005? Through arbitration or a pre-arbitration deal, at the All-Star Break I thought he'd be looking at David Ortiz money. But then he tailed off. The arbitration process is a little wacky and unpredictable. What do you think he'll make for next year? Surely more than $1.15M.

Honest Wagner NFL pick 'em: week 12 results

Best bets went Scoop 3-1, Bones 3-2, Rowdy 2-1. We got murdered in the guess 'em games. Overall numbers were Scoop 8-8, Bones 7-9, Rowdy 7-9. I stared at the three heavy home favorites (Pittsburgh, Atlanta, and Denver) and debated taking all three dogs or all three faves. Overreacting to the predictability of Week 11, I once again indulged one of my pet theories about the NFL - i.e. that Parity is Dead - and went with the faves.

In other news, in our Brown family pick 'em pool, of which Bones and Rowdy are but two members, our charming and accomplished 21-year-old sister is beating the snot out of us with a gaudy .565 winning percentage. She's not old enough to remember the Super Bowl teams.

Bubby Brister may be her earliest Steeler memory. Our sister, we'll call her Annie for now, must have been six years old. She found one of the Steelers helmets that Bones and I used to wear as teenagers when we played "Earl Campbell" in the neighbor's backyard. She put on yellow sweatpants, rubbed black stuff under her eyes, and put on her Bubby Brister jersey. It was Halloween. We took a picture and mailed it to Bubby care of Three Rivers stadium for his amusement.

He mailed it back, which we never expected, with a short message addressed to our sister. "Dear Annie," it said, "Lookin' good!!! Signed, Bubby Brister #6" or whatever his number was, I forget now.

For her sake more than any other reason, I'd love to see the Steelers go to the Super Bowl and win big. Super Bowl XXX was okay but not all that.

Charles Johnson "leaning Pirates"

Joey G sends this report from the Denver Post: Charles Johnson would rather waive his no-trade clause to play in Pittsburgh than in Tampa Bay. Or so they conjecture.

I don't put any stock in this. Everyone knows we all look our best in black and gold, and any ballplayer with half a heart wants to play in Pittsburgh. Of course Charles Johnson would like to be a Pirate.

Next rumor please.

On Park Effects

It's the offseason so now is as good a time as ever to do some thinking about the way baseball players are evaluated and ranked.

One premise that I'd like to throw out there is that team-building strategies that may be sound and even very good in fantasy baseball won't work in real baseball. One example of a fantasy baseball strategy that works in fantasy but doesn't in real life is the "stars and scrubs" strategy. This says put all your eggs in one or two baskets and surround the stars with replacement-level freely-available talent. For now, rather than debate the merits of this strategy, I'd like to just stop with the proposal that we call this team-building strategy "stars and scrubs" and that, in light of Littlefield's recent comments about the A-Rod in Texas model, we agree that it's one the Pirates have considered and rejected.

Fantasy baseball players want good, accurate projections. Non-fantasy fans would also like them too and since most of the first group overlaps with the second group, it's fair to say that the various projection systems available to fantasy gamers (Rotowire's, Primer's ZiPS, Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA, etc.) have a growing influence on the expectations of the fans who actually buy tickets and go to the park.

The better projection systems use "park effects" to translate statistics from one environment to another. The theory is that a park like Coors field inflates offensive statistics in regular and predicable ways. Therefore any given player's real performance data can be "translated" or adjusted by multiplying his raw numbers against "a park effect" number.

The park-effect translation math also plays a key role in the various "unistats," or single measures of a player's overall contribution or value, and these things, be they Win Shares or VORP measures, appear to be having a growing influence as fans debate the relative merits and overall value of individual players.

A problem I have with park effects, as they are currently used (or as they are currently described), is that they seem to me to be amazingly crude and uneven. Some stadiums have years and years of data supporting their park effect. Others are one or two years old. And yet both park effect numbers appear to be trusted equally.

A second way that the park effect measures strike me as really crude is in their apparent inability to discriminate between kinds of players. All Pirate fans know that PNC Park is tougher on right-handed hitters, for example, than it is on left-handed hitters. Yet most park effect measures that I've seen describe the park as something like perfectly neutral. Handedness is only the most obvious way that all hitters can be broken down into subgroups. It seems pretty obvious to me that PNC ought to have one park effect for right-handed hitters and another for left-handed hitters. And ditto for pitchers. How much of an advantage will a lefty like Mark Redman have from PNC Park? So long as the park is described only as neutral, we can't get a good idea of that.

Hitters can be further broken down as power hitters and singles hitters, and pitchers can be broken down as soft-tossers and as power pitchers. Each group should have its own park effect.

The only protest I can imagine against providing more specific park effect numbers - what we need, really, are park effect tables for each park - is that by dividing the data the quality of the sample size will be compromised. Yet park effects are immediately provided for new parks like Petco and, at the end of the year, the VORP calculations of players in that one-year park appear on the same lists as if they were equally valid as the VORP calculations of players who have played half their games in much better-known ballparks.

Finally, I know that many calculations of park effects are not stadium-specific but look instead at the whole schedule of games a team played. So much Coors and so much Dodger stadium goes into some of those Petco numbers. But doesn't that compound the problem even further? The overall park effect number made up by averaging the various effects of all the parks a team played in may work with the aggregate numbers. But aren't these aggregates too muddled for use on the individual level? I wonder. Also, there's a problem with using the previous year's data to project the upcoming year. Last year the Pirates played many of their interleague games on the West Coast. Will those stadiums go into the calculation for the park effect for 2005, when the Pirates won't play any interleague games out there? Shouldn't a 2005 projection with an aggregated park effect measure consider the handful of games they'll play, for example, in Fenway Park? Maybe some of the systems already do this. It's not my intention to specifically single out one projection system or one measure of park effects and call it wrong, but to raise questions we ought to ask about these numbers before we trust them very much.

My guess is that ten years from now, we'll look back at the state of the easily-available advanced metrics today and marvel at their crudity, much as we look as the baseball video games of the 1980s and wonder how we could have ever thought they were so cutting-edge.

Monday, November 29, 2004

More post-Kendall news

Ed Eagle's long report of the trade and the fallout contains more stuff that was news to me.

Eagle quotes Littlefield talking along the lines of the Captain A-Rod argument I've made in defense of a trade in the past:

Despite Kendall's production, his contract had become a burden to an organization looking to rebuild around a core of young and inexpensive players. Kendall still has three years and $34 million remaining on the six-year, $60 million contract he signed prior to the 2001 season. He was expected to take up about one-fourth of the Bucs' projected $40 million payroll in 2005.

"The formula of one player eating up a significant portion of the payroll doesn't work," said Littlefield. "You can look at other teams, you can look at other years and it's just not a formula that is going to enable you to have a lot of success."

A winning team is a fused group, a collection of individuals who are all empowered and capable of rising up and leading in the short-term. Aaron is the hero of game 1, but no matter that he strikes out five times in game 2; Bobby hits two home runs and the team wins again. Aaron and Bobby play terribly in game 3, but Clay strikes out ten and Daniel has a big eighth-inning triple. There can be no permanent leadership; no one person is capable of winning every game by himself. Trot out all the platitudes that have been offered about the 2002-2004 New England Patriots and see if they don't fit this description.

No team can be perfectly egalitarian, but too much pecking order hurts a team's ability to compete. There can be no division of caste in a winning team. The ramifications are many. For example, when one guy makes too large a share, it puts an impossible burden on his shoulders. There's no way he can perform well enough to "earn" that share of the total payroll. Teammates are not impressed with anything less than perfection, which is not possible to achieve. There's more sides to this but it's probably not worth an even long description. Suffice it to say that a team needs to be a rough circle of rough equals if it wants to win a lot of games. There's no other way to create the environment in which the players all take turns being The Man. And unless everyone gets a chance to be The Man, there's no way a baseball team is going to win a lot of games.

I have no idea what Kendall's role was in the chemistry of the clubhouse. I've never met him and I've never been in the clubhouse. But I can see why, in theory, the Captain A-Rod model is doomed to fail. I was never surprised when the Rangers failed to win with him. He was another owner, a player and co-manager, out there on the field, and all the wisdom and technique he had to share in practice only made his teammates look small on game day. Players can't be feeling or looking small if you want to have a winning team. So, I was not surprised to see them win without him. And of course he fits in just fine with the Yankees.

From college I remember Sartre's meditations on the French Revolution. Go read that if you really want to get deep on this subject. No mob will storm the Bastille while a member of the gentry leads them. It's basic human nature: a certain degree of equality is a prerequisite for meaningful team coordination. I'm not sure how Kendall was perceived by his 300K mates, but it didn't look good on paper.

I would like to see a study that compared income distribution and won/loss record. I would expect to see a correlation between payroll and winning, sure, but also a correlation between the equity of payroll distribution and winning. The fact that players have to put in three years at 300K-350K would probably exaggerate differences, however. There will also be guys on the payroll who aren't really on the team - Chan Ho Parks and Darren Dreiforts, for example - who make a shitload but aren't really in the mix of everyday players the way Lordship A-Rod was at Texas. This is a "team chemistry" thing. And it's a strength and a weakness of these arguments that they can't be settled with "advanced metrics." There's just no way any fan is going to know enough of what is going on behind-the-scenes to measure the degree to which the players intimidate, awe, resent, or just plain fuck with each other in the clubhouse.

Back to Eagle's report. Eagle also quotes Littlefield as suggesting the Pirates will get a catcher, but not necessarily a starting one:

With the durable Kendall out of the picture, backup catcher Humberto Cota will see more playing time. However, Cota, who has batted .241 with five home runs and 10 RBIs in 60 career big league games, will not be handed the starting job outright. Littlefield hopes to add a veteran backstop to the mix this offseason.

"We'll probably go out to get a catcher to add to Cota," said Littlefield. "I don't know that we have to designate one as a starting catcher necessarily. We do have a good feeling about Cota in the time that we've had him."

Because the Pirates recently discovered that catching prospect J.R. House still has a minor league option remaining, it is unlikely that the 25-year-old will be in competition for a starting job out of Spring Training.

I look forward to seeing the position settled. The temptation to run with Cota and House is pretty strong, especially if Craig Wilson could catch one day a week, but I have no idea how the Cota/House tandem would handle the young guys and/or if Craig Wilson remains fit for catching duties. Those would be good questions for Paul Meyer or Ed Eagle or David Littlefield. Somebody please ask them.

Finally, Redman said the right things:

"Six big league seasons and five different teams, I'm getting used to it," said Redman. "I'm glad to be back in the National League. I enjoyed it the one year I was in Florida. I look forward to coming there and pitching at PNC Park."

When asked if he was disappointed to be traded to a rebuilding team after spending the previous two seasons in the thick of playoff races, Redman cautioned reporters not to be so quick to count out the young Bucs' chances next season, using his 2003 Marlins team as an example of a club that came out of nowhere to win it all.

"No one expected them to be a championship-type team, especially the first two months of the season," said Redman. "We ended up going on and winning the World Series. Anything can happen in this game of baseball."

I like him already. He's my sleeper pick for the 2005 NL Cy Young award.

...bkopec of Batting Third thinks all the talk about having too much payroll in one player is a bunch of hooey. He found a number of teams with players eating a large share of the payroll and they weren't all bad. To that I'd say I'm not sure it refutes the claim that a team has to be a fused group, or a band of equals, to really succeed. I'm sure this is true in the "team chemistry" department. And while I might be right, bkopec is right to point out that the actual salary numbers probably don't tell us what we need to know about the effect uneven payroll can have on a team's ability to compete. Kendall certainly doesn't seem to have been a problem, and I'm definitely not laying the 2004 won-loss record at Kendall's feet. But he was due for a raise and we do have a whole bunch of other arbitration-eligible players who have also earned a raise. Anyway, huzza for bkopec for writing on the subject.

Trade frees $3M for 2005 payroll

Robert Dvorchak catches us up on this this and other details about the post-trade Pirates.

It sounds like the Pirates will acquire someone like Charles Johnson to catch. J.R. House can be returned to AAA and it sounds like he will return to AAA. Johnson's a guy who hit a ton when batting eighth or ninth in a loaded Chicago lineup. He's one of those guys that can surprise a team if they aren't paying a lot of attention to him as a threat. If you look at his three-year splits by batting position, you see he's only done regular 800 OPS service in the eighth spot. I doubt the Pirates could bat him eighth if they bring him in and pay him $1 or $2 million. His 2000 season - hitting at the bottom of a loaded lineup - and his 20-homer season as a Rockie will be two facts that will have him batting fifth or sixth or seventh for McClendon's team. And if pitchers key on him as one of the Pirates' main threats, they are going to beat him. That would be my expectation.

We can live with a no-hit catcher if he works wonders for the young pitchers. But Charles Johnson would come in with good-hit expectations and the odds are pretty good that he'll disappoint. I'd stay away from him if I was DL.

Sunday, November 28, 2004

Redskins at Steelers

So far so good (Steelers 10, Redskins 0). What's up with Ben taking all these sacks? He's been a sackaholic.

Saturday, November 27, 2004

Team 4: Bucs not making money

I should watch more TV if I want to learn more stuff like this.

Honest Wagner NFL pick 'em: week 12

VIS SPRD HME SCOOP BONES ROWDY
ind -8.5 DET ..DET ..ind ..ind
chi 03.5 DAL ..chi ..chi .chi*
cle 05.5 CIN .CIN* ..CIN ..CIN
snd -2.5 KSC .snd* .snd* ..KSC
jax 05.5 MIN ..MIN ..jax ..MIN
phl -6.5 NYG ..phl .phl* ..NYG
was 10.5 PIT ..PIT ..PIT ..PIT
tab -2.5 CAR ..tab ..tab .CAR*
ten -1.5 HOU ..ten .ten* .HOU*
nwo 09.5 ATL ..ATL ..ATL ..ATL
bal 06.5 NWE ..bal ..bal ..bal
mia 00.5 SNF ..mia ..mia ..SNF
buf 04.5 SEA .SEA* .SEA* ..buf
nyj -2.5 ARZ ..nyj ..nyj ..ARZ
oak 10.5 DEN ..oak ..DEN ..DEN
stl 06.5 GNB ..GNB .GNB* ..GNB
Asterisks indicate best bets.

Season to date:
Bones 91-69 .569
Scoop 88-72 .550
Rowdy 84-76 .525

Best bets
Bones 30-20 .600
Rowdy 33-25 .569
Scoop 18-15 .545

Dr. Bones: The ten and a half keeps PIT off my best bet list, but I still think they'll cover easy. I just don't see how this anemic Washington offense will be able to do anything. Meanwhile Duce will run, run, run. Steelers 27, Redskins 9.

Scoop: Sorry about being late with these. Give me losses for the turkey day games -- I did my sister-in-law's picks on those games for her pool yeasterday and missed horribly on both.

Rowdy: If I had known the Bears were going to wear those throwup throwback uniforms, I'd have gone with Dallas. Also, my "Sportsrage" Sports Illustrated came Friday and my picks are looking very Dr. Z. Speaking of "sportsrage," I've heard nothing but massive overreaction to that NBA brawl. Folks inclined to do "cultural criticism" of "historical moments" like that could turn their attention to all kinds of cultural practices that are far more prevalent and far less analyzed. Take video games, for example. When's the last time a sports department bobblehead got upset about the "violence" in the video-game versions of our favorite sports? Anyway these comments are way off topic. As Sunday approaches (it's Saturday night), my picks look really good to me. Maybe it's the bottle of two-buck Chuck. Good luck all my fellow pick 'em-ers.

Two huge chunks of baseball dead wood

I found this amusing. Oakland fans are just as irrational and reactionary as every other kind of fan, Moneyball or no Moneyball. Because of that book, however, they proceed with the "Beane is a genius" stuff with innocent self-delusion, even when they have to point out that Beane must have made some colossal blunders to wind up with "two huge chunks of baseball dead wood" on his roster.

Eric Gilmore may have his case. Fantasy baseball players routinely evaluate trades with the question, "Who got the best player?" Let them look at the trade this way.

But the trade can't be wisely evaluated today. All of this is premature self-gratification. (For one, the players haven't even passed their physicals yet. It's not a done deal.)

We'll attempt a preliminary judgement of the trade on Opening Day when we know for sure what the Pirates were able to do with the savings. Rhodes, like Steve Kline, has been an outstanding left-handed specialist for years and years. And like Kline, he's been so good managers have wanted to make him a closer. And like Kline, he hasn't been suited for doing that. If we hold on to Rhodes and use him in the eighth inning ahead of Mesa, I imagine it's not insane to expect a bounce-back season from him.

Mark Redman had one bad year. In 2000, he was a rookie of the year candidate and paired with Brad Radke when writers discussed how bright the future of the young Twins. In 2002, he had a very good year in Detroit. In 2003, he had an even better year in Florida. In 2004, he had an off-year. He was freakishly bad at home and freakishly good on the road. Overall, it was a down year. Is he now a "huge chunk of baseball dead wood"?

We'll have to wait and see. I'm hoping that Littlefield has followed that other fantasy baseball trading maxim, sell high and buy low. We've been expecting and hoping that the Pirates would sign some back-of-the-rotation soft-tossing lefty with the belief that one would complement the current staff while taking better advantage of the shape of our ballpark. Redman fits that order so I'm in no mood to complain.

The season starts April 4, 2005, at home against the Brewers. If the national media parrots the lines of self-gratification suggested by at least this one Oakland dittohead, Pirate fans will be in for another off-season of Test Your Patience.

Good thing we have plenty of that P-stuff. How else could we be here?

Friday, November 26, 2004

Mark Redman: The difference a year makes

FYI.

Perrotto on the available catchers

John Perrotto reviews the market for starting catchers.

Offense can't be the only consideration for a team that is rebuilding around young starting pitching. The available options, including all the catchers currently on the 40-man roster, don't look able to replace Kendall's offensive production. But perhaps one of these guys is better suited to start in Kendall's place for his abilities as a field general. I dunno.

Bettis to rest

Staley will start Sunday, giving the Bus some time off. If I ran the circus, I'd consider planning a rest-him rotation like the one the Steelers have employed this year. We don't want to go into the playoffs with the one, now-worn-down back that got us there. We've done that before. Jerome proved that he doesn't rust in the garage these days, so I'm happy that we'll stash him there and have him, at least in reserve, when the playoffs begin in six weeks. As long as Bettis doesn't tear his groin by tripping over the cat, or pull some kind of Brian Griese Chevy Chase-impersonation, he should benefit from the time off.

Thursday, November 25, 2004

Adios Jason Kendall

Jason Kendall to Oakland for Diamond-ear Rhodes and Mark Redman. Robert Dvorchak has details in the PG. Bob Smizik is on it with today's column. (What is he -- a blogger?) The AP story can be found here, among many places.

The San Francisco Chronicle has two reports, one here and another here.

It sounds like the deal isn't final yet. If it goes through, we'll have plenty to talk about.

...Blez and the Athletics Nation are pretty happy this morning. As they should be.

It's hard to lose a player like Kendall, but I can live with this deal. We have a bunch of catchers without him (Cota, House, Craig Wilson, Ronny Paulino, and later, we hope, Neil Walker). The A's were eager to hustle Redman out the door to make room for Joe Blanton, and Rhodes wore out his welcome there when they asked him to close after he had been on the record saying he wasn't a closer. If we hold onto Rhodes, the bullpen is looking pretty fierce, and that's good news for the young starters.

...fri...Brian O'Neill offers his take in today's PG.

Wednesday, November 24, 2004

Complete batting and pitching statistics from 1871-2004: free

Get yer free stats here. All hail Sean Lahman.

Saw it at Primer.

Cannonball Crew tryouts

If your interested in clowning around and dancing on top of the dugout during the home games, don't miss the tryouts.

Sean Burnett, Grand Marshal

Life is good for Sean this week.

Redskins mood meter still low

Today the Redskins mood meter reads three. I'd-a sworn it read two yesterday. Go see for yourself and read about their rookie right tackle.

The Washington Post is also reporting everything it can learn about Justin Strelzcyk.

The Steelers are ten-and-a-half point favorites. The over/under is 35.5. For perspective, the Colts are eight-and-a-half point road favorites with an over/under of 53.5. In the first case, the spread is nearly one-third of the estimated final score. In the second case, the spread is nearly one-sixth of the estimated final score. The oddsmakers are telling us there's a 50% chance of complete and total domination. Can you say trap?

I may take the Steelers anyway. Still thinking about it.

Tuesday, November 23, 2004

the .500 season

Ed Eagle's new mailbag leads with a great question about the importance of a .500 season.

We don't have to be so fatalistic or melodramatic. A .500 team is a reasonable expectation, payroll be damned, and one all fans should have for next year. It's one I had for last year. I honestly don't think that all of the Bucs' recent losing can be pinned on the payroll. There was certainly a great deal of misfortune and a lot of incompetence or plain ol' short-sightedness with the selection and retention of particular veteran players.

But so what about the .500 season? The final record doesn't really matter at all, as far as I'm concerned. Baseball is an everyday sport. It's de rigeur for coaches, GMs, athletes, etc., to say that winning the World Series is the only acceptable goal. Fine, let them say that. But me, as a fan, I think that's bullshit. The only acceptable goal is winning today. The Pirates could be a .550 ballclub and if they got swept by the Cardinals, I'd be just as pissed or disappointed as I am when they lose a third game in a row as a .450 ballclub. There's no fun in losing and, regardless of the team's overall record, every win is pretty much equally good.

Too many baseball fans today hang back and blow off the middle of the season. They pay attention in March and April and then hang back until the autumn, when they cast an eye at the standings and decide if it's time to buy a new jersey or make plans to have a party and watch a game with friends. The crime there is that they miss a lot of good baseball. For every house party thrown to watch a playoff game, there should be one or two thrown to watch a regular-season game. The average fan misses so many opportunities to really enjoy the season. The best games are not the playoff games but the unexpectedly good ones on random Sunday afternoons or Tuesday nights. If that sounds like sour grapes, so what of that?

Let the GM and the players and the coaches talk about winning a World Series. I'll hope for that when they get into the playoffs because, duh, then they will be playing a game today and I'll want them to win today. My gripe about 2004 is not so much that the Pirates finished with a lousy record or failed to make the playoffs. My gripe is that they subjected me to too many long periods when I felt I was better off listening to Ray Charles than listening to another game with the possibly vain hope that they would snap an outrageous losing streak. The final record is not much of a disappointment by itself. I rarely sit around and think about it. In fact, now that I'm doing just that, I don't like it, which should be no surprise. I don't know how many games they won or lost in 2004. And I don't care. When the games begin again, I'll tune in. If they play on Tuesday, winning on Tuesday is what I hope for. Ditto for Wednesday. Any other way of evaluating a season fails to seize all the opportunities a fan has to enjoy the season. I can't relate to the mindset that says "I can't enjoy baseball today if my team isn't projected to be in the playoffs." If you find the prospect of another losing season so depressing, give up baseball for Ray Charles. Or pour your heart into the Steelers. No hobby should be such a burden.

Cowher in the Washington Post

Ryan of Heels, Sox, and Steelers fame calls our attention to the Washington Post's attention to Bill Cowher this week.

In other news, the Redskins mood meter is currently at 2, on a scale of 1 to 10.

I've always dated Cowher's growing infatuation with the very-stupid "wide-open" gadgetry offense to the 1994 Championship game and the 1995 Super Bowl. Both those teams featured overwhelming defense, power running, sure receiving and a caretaker quarterback. And in both those big games, the Steelers dominated their opponents for most of the game and lost to a few "big plays." And Cowher could be seen ranting, throughout the rest of roaring nineties, that "we need more big plays." My wife took to doing a Coach Cowher impression, in fact, which featured snarling, the big jaw, and "we need more BIG PLAYS." She barely tolerates the existence of football. She may not understand the difference between a little and a big play. And even she could tell that Cowher's eyes would get a little buggy when this subject arose.

That's how I'd begin my sketch of Cowher's descent into offensive idiocy, which gradually accelerated over the course of a decade: lose big games to big plays, blame it on an offense that lacks big-play ability, defend and nuture Michael Vick Kordell Stewart, watch the Rams rise, mistake Tommy Maddox for Kurt Warner, get shredded by pass-happy Raiders and Patriots in high-profile games, hire a series of morons to install increasingly inappropriate offenses, etc. and so on.

I call it idiocy because the Steelers don't play in a dome. How Coach Cowher - and the responsibility ultimately falls on his shoulders - would think a dome offense could work for a team that plays its more important games in 32 degree winter weather, is beyond me. Despite his temporary Captain Ahab-like obsession with getting more "big plays," Cowher has always had a number of other serious strengths as a coach. Though I disagreed with Ray Sherman and all things Mike Mularkey, I never felt compelled to wish for a coaching change.

Anyway it sure is great to get back to Steeler football. Run the ball, run the ball, run the ball. It's not Steeler football unless (a) they know you are going to run, (b) you run anyway, and (c) you average four yards per carry. God I love it when that happens.

And all hail Dick LeBeau. It's good to have him back.

Honest Wagner pick 'em: week 11 results

It was a star hole as we all finished under par. Dr. Bones 12-4, Scoop 10-6, and Rowdy 9-7 overall with best bet records of Scoop 5-2, Dr. Bones 5-0, and Rowdy 3-1. Here's hoping that Clay parlayed Dr. Bones's best bets while he was in Vegas last weekend. The total records now look like Dr. Bones 91-69, Scoop 88-72, Rowdy 84-76 with best bet totals of Dr. Bones 30-20, Rowdy 33-25, and Scoop 18-15.

This is a short week with games to pick for Thursday. The Colts are favored by eight or nine over the Lions, which looks about right, and the Cowboys are spotting three or four to the Bears, which is probably fair. As Gregg Easterbrook often reminds his readers, the Lions and the Cowboys win a disproportionate number of these Turkey-day games.

Monday, November 22, 2004

Washington Nationals

Official site.

Kendall rumor, chapter 49

Joey G calls our attention to Ken Rosenthal's latest. Here is the relevant Kendall stuff:

In addition to exploring trades for one of their top three starting pitchers, the A's are also involved in two- and three-team discussions regarding Pirates C Jason Kendall, who is guaranteed $34 million over the next three seasons. A straight trade between the A's and Pirates likely would involve the Pirates receiving LHPs Mark Redman and Arthur Rhodes, who are owed $16.15 million combined over the next two seasons. Kendall also could land with the Dodgers--straight up or via the A's--with the Pirates possibly seeking Dodgers CF Milton Bradley. The expected loss of free-agent CF Steve Finley makes a trade of Bradley unlikely. . . .

So what do we think of these rumored deals?

I see the Kendall situation as pretty win-win. He's a great player for Pittsburgh and I'm happy to keep him around. On the other hand, he makes a large, perhaps too large, percentage of the team's overall salary.

More on this later. Thanks to Joey G for the link and the email.

... to clarify. It's win-win only if the savings gets re-invested. It's not win-win for the fans, obviously, if Kendall is given away Aramis Ramirez-style and the money is just so much more profit for the team owners. I have more to say and have said more about the possibility that it's bad for the team when one guy gets too much of the cake, and would point to the recent "Coach A-Rod" problem in Texas, but I'll have to save all that for another day.

More on Davis and Alvarez

Robert Dvorchak wrote up the recent 40-man transactions over the weekend. The Bucs have ten days to trade Davis, Alvarez, or Nunez before they must put them on waivers. If any of those guys have any value, they should receive an offer or two.

Sunday, November 21, 2004

Steelers at Bengals, now with dancing

In the recap that appeared online right after the game, these were the last two paragraphs:

The heave to Johnson gave the chatty receiver a chance to make good on his promise of a new touchdown celebration. He stretched high above Deshea Townsend to make the catch, landed on the cornerback's back and rolled into the end zone, then popped up and did a jig that involved punching like a fighter.

[Kelley] Washington got to do his little touchdown dance – a squirm-and-shake called The Squirrel – after catching a 19-yard pass from Palmer, who finished 13-of-25 for 165 yards with three sacks.

Dance coverage! I love it.

But in the revised recap, the AP story reads like this:

Afterward, coach Marvin Lewis uncharacteristically screamed at his team in the locker room.

"This is the angriest I've been," said Lewis, who always tries to accentuate the positive. "We're not going to accept mediocrity. If we accept getting close, if we accept leading in the first half, we're not going to get any better. We're not going to accept that."

With Pittsburgh out of sync in the first half, the Bengals did a little dancing.

Chad Johnson made good on his promise of a new touchdown celebration, an end-zone boogie after his acrobatic 36-yard catch. Kelley Washington also swayed and squirmed in the end zone after his 19-yard touchdown put Cincinnati up 14-10.

In no time, the dancing ended and Lewis' screaming began.

"Everybody feels like that," said Palmer, who was 13-of-25 for 165 yards. "Everybody's frustrated. It makes everybody feel the way Marvin feels. Everybody knows he's right."

Not a kinder, gentler rewrite.

I may be alone with this opinion, but I'd like to see even more expanded coverage of the dancing players do on the field. Think about it. Would you rather read the revised version, with the light details of Johnson's "end-zone boogie," or the earlier revision, with the fuller details reporting how Johnson "popped up and did a jig that involved punching like a fighter." Also note that while a "jig" is in fact a dance, a "boogie" is not really a dance but a kind of music conducive for dancing. To really do an end-zone boogie, the receiver would have to squat and feign like he's playing the piano, Will Bradley-style.

Every generation has to take what they inherit from their grandparents and make it their own. The flying wedge; the forward pass; crash helmets and body armor; obviously the time has come to replace for the rising generation to re-make football. Why not replace the extra point with a dancing event? If the fans demand it, we can make it happen. A scoring player can spike the ball or slam-dunk it over the goal post for an easy one. By attempting more riskier, difficult, and potentially embarrassing moves, the scoring player should be able to earn (or give back) three additional points. The refs can use instant replay if necessary. What better way to bring the game of football into the twenty-first century?

I wouldn't be able to joke about all this if the Steelers lost, so here's to winning and getting other coaches all out of character. All hail the Steelers! With nine wins, I think we can start thinking about the playoffs without making the usual Jim Mora jokes.

Steelers at Bengals

I see a lot of reasons to like the Steelers today. If they win as they should against a well-known division opponent, they'll maintain that status, in my eyes, as Super Bowl contenders. If they fall on their face, I'll have serious doubts.

...well, the kinda fell on their face, but they still managed to win convincingly. Good omen.