Thursday, November 04, 2004

Honest Wagner NFL pick 'em: week 9

VIS SPRD HME SCOOP BONES ROWDY
arz 02.5 MIA ..arz ..arz ..MIA
phl -1.5 PIT .PIT* .PIT* .PIT*
ksc -2.5 TAB ..ksc ..ksc ..TAB
oak 06.5 CAR ..CAR .CAR* ..CAR
nyj -2.5 BUF .nyj* ..BUF ..BUF
dal -1.5 CIN ..CIN .CIN* .CIN*
was 03.5 DET ..DET ..DET ..DET
nwo 06.5 SND ..nwo ..SND ..SND
sea -6.5 SNF .SNF* ..sea .SNF*
chi 09.5 NYG ..chi .chi* ..NYG
hou 06.5 DEN ..hou .hou* .hou*
nwe -2.5 STL .nwe* ..STL ..STL
cle 05.5 BAL ..cle .cle* .cle*
min 06.5 IND ..min ..IND .min*

Asterisks indicate best bets.

Season to date:
Scoop 68-48 .586
Bones 66-50 .569
Rowdy 60-56 .517

Best bets
Rowdy 24-20 .545
Bones 19-16 .543
Scoop 11-10 .524

Comments:

Scoop says: Love that steagles matchup. A 6-1 team getting points at home after demolishing what 6 days ago was seen as arguably one of the greatest teams ever. The thought of an even-more-than-usually-motivated duce staley is scary. Stillers looking to go up 3 games in the division. Pit's a dolores pick if I ever saw one.

Dr. Bones writes: Under new regime, all games are fixed.

Rowdy pontificates: How is the 3-4 Dallas team favored at the 2-5 Cincinnati team? I'll take the Bungles and hope to never learn. The Seattle at San Francisco games looks too good to be true. The Seahawks are back on track after a rough patch, but that win last week does not mandate a ton of confidence. They travel to play a team they beat 34-0 in September. The Niners were as bad as can be last week. These teams catch each other rebounding in different directions. I'll take the Niners to cover the big number. Houston, like Pittsburgh, is still undervalued by the oddsmakers as they continue to prove the skeptics wrong. All aboard these cover trains. I'll take both underdogs ATS and SU. The Browns beat up the Ravens on opening day. Most AFC North division games should be three-point spreads. These teams all play each other tough. The Brownies are coming off a bye. I'll take those points and enjoy rooting against the Ravens. Finally, Minnesota can score on Indianapolis, Randy Moss or no Randy Moss. Both teams hail from domes and both teams play well in the spotlight. Plus, Minnesota is due for some improvement over last week's game, which probably has people unnecessarily down on their overall ability. So this is another case where I'll take the generous point spread. Finally, Carolina goes for their first home win, again, against the mysteriously-awful Oakland team. Neither team is reliable enough to trust as a best bet. Still, I'll be real surprised if Carolina doesn't win in this fourth chance to return something on the considerable investment of all season ticket holders. Fans don't ask or expect much from self-destructing suckass teams beyond winning a few games at home. Everybody has to win some at home.

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