Week 4 looks butt-ugly as many bad and sinking teams are at home against the good and rising teams. Many, many mismatches on the docket.
There's going to be nine home dogs - I can't remember there ever being that many in one week. Chris Berman, when he was doing his "Swami" segment for ESPN, asserted that home dogs cover the spread 55% of the time. Five of nine is 55%. I'd take that in a pick game every time. You'll win most pick leagues if you can finish with a .550 record.
So true or false: if you take all nine home dogs, you can expect to win five. Is this a sound strategy for week 4?
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